Daily results
How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Sun, Oct 25, 2026
Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.
Updated Oct 26, 10:12 AM EDT.
Almanac shows the thermometer each Kalshi and Polymarket weather market goes by, live next to every price, and how every city settled.
Create a free account- 24 of 24 cities settled.
- Warmest against normal: Chicago, 74°F (+15°).
- Coolest against normal: Phoenix, 83°F (−3°).
- 17 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.
Streaks and records
- On a run above normal: Minneapolis 9 days, Chicago 8 days, Louisville 7 days, Austin 6 days.
- On a run below normal: Miami 5 days, Las Vegas 4 days, Phoenix 3 days.
- The market's favorite at the start of the day settled in 15 of 24 cities with prices stored.
From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.
All 24 cities
NWS climate reports via IEM6 days ago, fetched Oct 26, 7:20 AM EDTKalshi settlements6 days ago, settled Oct 26, 10:12 AM EDT| City | Official high | Time (LST) | vs normal | Winning bracket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL | 70° | 4:13 PM | −1°normal 71° | 69° to 70°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS | 82° | — | +3°normal 79° | 81° to 82°Upset: favorite was 83° to 84° (68¢)settled 7:08 AM local |
| BostonLogan · KBOS | 62° | 12:51 PM | +3°normal 59° | 62° to 63°Upset: favorite was 64° to 65° (56¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| ChicagoMidway · KMDW | 74° | 2:17 PM | +15°normal 59° | 74° to 75°Upset: favorite was 72° to 73° (48¢)settled 7:08 AM local |
| DallasDFW Airport · KDFW | 82° | 1:43 PM | +7°normal 75° | 81° to 82°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| DenverDenver International · KDEN | 58° | 2:50 PM | −3°normal 61° | 58° to 59°✓ favorite came insettled 7:08 AM local |
| HoustonHobby · KHOU | 81° | 12:32 PM | +2°normal 79° | 81° to 82°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS | 74° | 2:38 PM | −3°normal 77° | 73° to 74°Upset: favorite was 75° to 76° (57¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| Los AngelesLAX · KLAX | 78° | 10:45 AM | +4°normal 74° | 78° to 79°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF | 77° | 8:23 PM | +10°normal 67° | 76° to 77°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| MiamiMiami International · KMIA | 82° | 3:21 PM | −3°normal 85° | 81° to 82°✓ favorite came insettled 7:18 AM local |
| MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP | 55° | 1:33 PM | +2°normal 53° | 54° to 55°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY | 77° | 4:04 PM | −1°normal 78° | 77° to 78°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| New York CityCentral Park · KNYC | 64° | 3:19 PM | +3°normal 61° | 64° to 65°✓ favorite came insettled 7:18 AM local |
| NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR | 69° | 2:27 PM | +6°normal 63° | 69° to 70°Upset: favorite was 67° to 68° (55¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC | 79° | 1:17 PM | +10°normal 69° | 78° to 79°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL | 66° | 4:00 PM | +2°normal 64° | 65° to 66°Upset: favorite was 67° to 68° (76¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX | 83° | 3:40 PM | −3°normal 86° | 82° to 83°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT | 81° | 2:29 PM | +2°normal 79° | 81° to 82°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN | 79° | 12:56 PM | +5°normal 74° | 79° to 80°Upset: favorite was 77° to 78° (69¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| San FranciscoSFO · KSFO | 74° | 2:18 PM | +3°normal 71° | 73° to 74°Upset: favorite was 71° to 72° (40¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA | 58° | 3:56 PM | +1°normal 57° | 58° to 59°Upset: favorite was 53° or below (52¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN | 66° | 3:02 PM | +4°normal 62° | 66° to 67°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| Washington DCReagan National · KDCA | 66° | 3:20 PM | 0°normal 66° | 66° to 67°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026
Polymarket, the same day
How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.
| City | Polymarket's range | Station | Beside Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 70-71°F | KATL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Austin | 80-81°F | KAUS | came out apart |
| Chicago | 72-73°F | KORD | came out apart |
| Dallas | 80-81°F | KDAL | came out apart |
| Denver | 56-57°F | KBKF | came out apart |
| Houston | 80-81°F | KHOU | holds Kalshi's high |
| Los Angeles | 76-77°F | KLAX | came out apart |
| Miami | 82-83°F | KMIA | holds Kalshi's high |
| New York City | 66-67°F | KLGA | came out apart |
| San Francisco | 70-71°F | KSFO | came out apart |
| Seattle | 58-59°F | KSEA | holds Kalshi's high |
World cities
- Amsterdam14°C
- Ankara21°C
- Beijing13°C
- Buenos Aires16°C
- Busan21°C
- Cape Town21°C
- Chengdu25°C
- Chongqing21°C
- Guangzhou31°C
- Helsinki12°C
- Hong Kong30°C
- Istanbul17°C
- Jeddah36°C
- Karachi37°C
- Kuala Lumpur32°C
- London14°C
- Lucknow32°C
- Madrid23°C
- Manila33°C
- Mexico City20°C
- Milan13°C
- Moscow13°C
- Munich14°C
- Panama City29°C
- Paris16°C
- Qingdao22°C
- Sao Paulo21°C
- Seoul21°C
- Shanghai22°C
- Shenzhen31°C
- Singapore32°C
- Tel Aviv28°C
- Tokyo26°C
- Toronto18°C
- Warsaw14°C
- Wellington18°C
- Wuhan27°C
Share this day
The card shows the day's official highs. No prices, no picks.
Every settled day
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