Kalshi goes by the thermometer at Louisville Muhammad Ali International Airport (KSDF). Today's high counts from 1:00 AM Nov 1 to 12:00 AM Nov 2 EDT.
Newest official high: Sat, Oct 31, posted Nov 1, 3:21 AM EST.
Louisville so far today: the high is 70°F (hourly reading, 11:56 AM), in the 69° to 70° bracket. The favorite is 69° to 70° at 99¢ (Kalshi, 30 minutes late). Trading closes at 1:00 AM EST. 27 reports from KSDF from 1:00 AM to 10:23 PM EST, between 56°F and 70°F; the latest 56°F at 10:18 PM.
| Bracket | Price | Note |
|---|---|---|
| 73° or above | 2¢ | |
| 71° to 72° | 1¢ | |
| 69° to 70° | 99¢ | favorite, high so far |
| 67° to 68° | 1¢ | |
| 65° to 66° | 1¢ | |
| 64° or below | 1¢ |
| Time | Reading |
|---|---|
| 10:18 PM | 56°F |
| 9:56 PM | 56°F |
| 9:26 PM | 56°F |
| 8:56 PM | 56°F |
| 8:18 PM | 57°F |
| 7:56 PM | 57°F |
| 7:37 PM | 57°F |
| 7:06 PM | 58°F |
| 6:56 PM | 58°F |
| 5:56 PM | 60°F |
| 4:56 PM | 66°F |
| 3:56 PM | 68°F |
| 2:56 PM | 69°F |
| 1:56 PM | 68°F |
| 12:56 PM | 68°F |
| 11:56 AM | 70°F |
| 10:56 AM | 66°F |
| 9:56 AM | 62°F |
| 8:56 AM | 60°F |
| 7:56 AM | 59°F |
| 6:56 AM | 59°F |
| 5:56 AM | 59°F |
| 4:56 AM | 59°F |
| 3:56 AM | 59°F |
| 2:56 AM | 59°F |
| 1:56 AM | 60°F |
| 1:56 AM | 60°F |
Which bracket will Louisville settle on today? For fun: no money, no orders, nothing sent to Kalshi. The market's own favorite usually wins, and your record sits beside it. See this week's leaderboard
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Prices (30 min late) 30 min ago· Readings 5 min ago
High so far today
70°F
hourly reading at 11:56 AM, 27 reports so far
Latest reading
56°F
taken 10:18 PM, counts toward today
Trading closes in
2 h 37 min
usually settles around 7:12 AM (median of 60 days)
| Bracket | Price | Bid | Last | Waiting to trade (bid × ask) | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73° or above | 1¢ | — | 2¢ | — × 201 | 178 |
| 71° to 72° | 1¢ | — | 1¢ | — × 1,330 | 335 |
| 69° to 70°favoritehigh so far 70° | — | 99¢ | 99¢ | 2,962 × — | 731 |
| 67° to 68° | 1¢ | — | 1¢ | — × 11.3k | 909 |
| 65° to 66° | 1¢ | — | 1¢ | — × 11.3k | 238 |
| 64° or below | 1¢ | — | 1¢ | — × 11.6k | 1,338 |
| Bracket | Price | Bid | Last | Waiting to trade (bid × ask) | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 75° or above | 1¢ | — | 1¢ | — × 256 | 20 |
| 73° to 74° | 1¢ | — | 1¢ | — × 3 | 28 |
| 71° to 72° | 2¢ | 1¢ | 1¢ | 5 × 11 | 47 |
| 69° to 70° | 4¢ | 3¢ | 4¢ | 33 × 6 | 23 |
| 67° to 68° | 19¢ | 6¢ | 15¢ | 22 × 125 | 1 |
| 66° or belowfavorite | 83¢ | 79¢ | 80¢ | 6 × 19 | 41 |
56°F
Favorite 54° to 55° at 75¢ · 1° to go, down
Low so far set at 10:18 PM. Same station and day as the high; closes in 2 h 37 min.
From KSDF's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about past days, not forecasts.
Pick a number and Almanac tells you the moment the station (KSDF) reaches it: by email, and on your phone once you switch notifications on. Plus live prices in all 24 cities (these are 30minutes late), 12 weather models' forecasts for this station on the chart and in a table, whether today is running hotter or cooler than they expected, and how each model has done here.
Model record: in our test the market's prices were more accurate than the model (log loss 1.26 vs 1.48 a day ahead, 0.92 vs 1.25 on the day; lower is better).
Every report from the station today (a ), in exact whole °F. “6 h max” is the station's own highest reading over the past 6 hours, which can catch a peak between hourly reports.
| Time | Reading | 6 h max | 24 h max | Report |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:18 PM | 56° | SPECI KSDF 020318Z 13007KT 7SM -RA SCT009 BKN013 OVC024 13/12 A3032 RMK AO2 P0000 T01330122 $ | ||
| 9:56 PM | 56° | METAR KSDF 020256Z 14011KT 5SM -RA BR SCT009 BKN024 OVC036 13/12 A3032 RMK AO2 SLP266 P0000 60009 T01330122 58002 $ | ||
| 9:51 PM | — | SPECI KSDF 020251Z 13010KT 5SM -RA BR SCT009 BKN024 OVC036 13/12 A3032 RMK AO2 P0000 $ | ||
| 9:26 PM | 56° | SPECI KSDF 020226Z 12006KT 9SM -RA SCT009 OVC034 13/13 A3032 RMK AO2 P0000 T01330128 $ | ||
| 8:56 PM | 56° | METAR KSDF 020156Z 15009KT 5SM -RA BR BKN008 BKN022 OVC036 13/13 A3033 RMK AO2 SLP270 P0003 T01330128 $ | ||
| 8:18 PM | 57° | SPECI KSDF 020118Z 18007KT 4SM -RA BR BKN007 BKN024 OVC028 14/13 A3033 RMK AO2 P0001 T01390133 $ | ||
| 7:56 PM | 57° | METAR KSDF 020056Z 15009KT 7SM -RA SCT006 BKN028 OVC042 14/13 A3033 RMK AO2 SLP268 P0006 T01390133 $ | ||
| 7:37 PM | 57° | SPECI KSDF 020037Z 17008KT 3SM -RA BR SCT006 OVC028 14/13 A3032 RMK AO2 P0005 T01390133 $ | ||
| 7:06 PM | 58° | SPECI KSDF 020006Z 18008KT 4SM -RA BR SCT007 OVC036 14/13 A3033 RMK AO2 P0000 T01440133 $ | ||
| 6:56 PM | 58° | 69° | METAR KSDF 012356Z 19009KT 5SM -RA BR SCT010 OVC035 14/13 A3033 RMK AO2 SLP268 P0000 60000 T01440133 10206 20144 53009 $ | |
| 5:56 PM | 60° | METAR KSDF 012256Z 20008KT 9SM -RA FEW015 SCT050 OVC060 16/13 A3031 RMK AO2 SLP264 P0000 T01560133 $ | ||
| 4:56 PM | 66° | METAR KSDF 012156Z 18008KT 10SM -RA SCT040 BKN048 OVC080 19/11 A3031 RMK AO2 RAB25 SLP261 P0000 T01890111 $ | ||
| 3:56 PM | 68° | METAR KSDF 012056Z 19009KT 10SM BKN041 OVC100 20/11 A3030 RMK AO2 SLP258 60000 T02000111 55010 $ | ||
| 2:56 PM | 69° | METAR KSDF 011956Z 19008KT 10SM FEW090 BKN110 BKN150 21/10 A3029 RMK AO2 RAE13 SLP255 P0000 T02060100 $ | ||
| 1:56 PM | 68° | METAR KSDF 011856Z 19003KT 10SM -RA OVC100 20/09 A3031 RMK AO2 RAE02B53 SLP262 P0000 T02000089 | ||
| 12:56 PM | 68° | 70° | METAR KSDF 011756Z 18009KT 10SM -RA OVC100 20/08 A3033 RMK AO2 RAB48 SLP269 P0000 60000 T02000083 10211 20150 58009 | |
| 11:56 AM | 70° | METAR KSDF 011656Z 19008KT 10SM BKN090 OVC110 21/07 A3034 RMK AO2 SLP270 T02110072 | ||
| 10:56 AM | 66° | METAR KSDF 011556Z 16005KT 10SM OVC110 19/09 A3036 RMK AO2 SLP277 T01890089 | ||
| 9:56 AM | 62° | METAR KSDF 011456Z 12005KT 10SM BKN120 OVC130 17/11 A3036 RMK AO2 SLP279 T01670106 50013 | ||
| 8:56 AM | 60° | METAR KSDF 011356Z 00000KT 10SM BKN110 OVC130 16/11 A3036 RMK AO2 SLP280 T01560111 | ||
| 7:56 AM | 59° | METAR KSDF 011256Z 00000KT 10SM OVC120 15/11 A3035 RMK AO2 SLP274 T01500106 | ||
| 6:56 AM | 59° | 60° | METAR KSDF 011156Z 02004KT 10SM OVC110 15/11 A3032 RMK AO2 SLP265 60000 T01500111 10156 20144 51005 | |
| 5:56 AM | 59° | METAR KSDF 011056Z 08003KT 10SM BKN100 OVC150 15/12 A3031 RMK AO2 RAB02E50 SLP263 P0000 T01500117 | ||
| 4:56 AMcorrected | 59° | METAR KSDF 010956Z COR 00000KT 10SM FEW085 OVC110 15/11 A3032 RMK AO2 SLP263 T01500106 | ||
| 3:56 AM | 59° | METAR KSDF 010856Z 35003KT 10SM BKN120 OVC140 15/11 A3030 RMK AO2 SLP259 T01500106 55000 | ||
| 2:56 AM | 59° | METAR KSDF 010756Z 00000KT 10SM OVC120 15/10 A3029 RMK AO2 SLP256 T01500100 | ||
| 1:56 AM | 60° | METAR KSDF 010656Z 01004KT 10SM BKN110 OVC140 16/10 A3029 RMK AO2 SLP255 T01560100 | ||
| 1:56 AM | 60° | 67° | METAR KSDF 010556Z 00000KT 10SM BKN100 OVC120 16/10 A3030 RMK AO2 RAB06E23 SLP259 P0000 60000 T01560100 10194 20150 58004 |
70°F
Official high at 5:21 PM (standard time), +6° vs the normal 64°.
Settled: 70° to 71° (Kalshi, 7:12 AM)
Kalshi's series title for this market says "SATX", but the rules name CLISDF: Louisville's station (KSDF).
Download every official high at KSDF (CSV): the NWS climate report's daily high since Jan 1, 2025, with its time, the normal and the record. Free, no account.
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