Kalshi goes by the thermometer at Central Park, Manhattan (KNYC), not LaGuardia or JFK. Today's high counts from 1:00 AM Nov 1 to 12:00 AM Nov 2 EDT.
Newest official high: Sat, Oct 31, posted Nov 1, 3:20 AM EST.
New York City so far today: the high is 59°F (the station's 6-hour high, 6:51 PM), in the 59° or below bracket. The favorite is 59° or below at 99¢ (Kalshi, 30 minutes late). Trading closes at 1:00 AM EST. 24 reports from KNYC from 1:00 AM to 10:21 PM EST, between 45°F and 58°F; the latest 49°F at 9:51 PM.
| Bracket | Price | Note |
|---|---|---|
| 68° or above | 1¢ | |
| 66° to 67° | 1¢ | |
| 64° to 65° | 1¢ | |
| 62° to 63° | 1¢ | |
| 60° to 61° | 1¢ | |
| 59° or below | 99¢ | favorite, high so far |
| Time | Reading |
|---|---|
| 9:51 PM | 49°F |
| 8:51 PM | 53°F |
| 7:51 PM | 55°F |
| 6:51 PM | 55°F |
| 5:51 PM | 54°F |
| 4:51 PM | 56°F |
| 3:51 PM | 57°F |
| 2:51 PM | 58°F |
| 1:51 PM | 58°F |
| 12:51 PM | 56°F |
| 12:28 PM | 56°F |
| 12:20 PM | 56°F |
| 11:51 AM | 55°F |
| 10:51 AM | 53°F |
| 9:51 AM | 51°F |
| 8:51 AM | 49°F |
| 7:51 AM | 46°F |
| 6:51 AM | 45°F |
| 5:51 AM | 45°F |
| 4:51 AM | 45°F |
| 3:51 AM | 46°F |
| 2:51 AM | 47°F |
| 1:51 AM | 48°F |
| 1:51 AM | 48°F |
Which bracket will New York City settle on today? For fun: no money, no orders, nothing sent to Kalshi. The market's own favorite usually wins, and your record sits beside it. See this week's leaderboard
Create a free account to play: calls on your 3 cities, your record beside the market's favorite and the model's.
Prices (30 min late) 34 min ago· Readings 30 min ago
High so far today
59°F
the station's 6-hour high at 6:51 PM, 24 reports so far
Latest reading
49°F
taken 9:51 PM, counts toward today
Trading closes in
2 h 39 min
usually settles around 7:12 AM (median of 60 days)
| Bracket | Price | Bid | Last | Waiting to trade (bid × ask) | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 68° or above | 1¢ | — | 1¢ | — × 48.4k | 481 |
| 66° to 67° | 1¢ | — | 1¢ | — × 34.8k | 3,433 |
| 64° to 65° | 1¢ | — | 1¢ | — × 30.3k | 45.8k |
| 62° to 63° | 1¢ | — | 1¢ | — × 37.1k | 17.7k |
| 60° to 61° | 1¢ | — | 1¢ | — × 11.8k | 38.5k |
| 59° or belowfavoritehigh so far 59° | — | 99¢ | 99¢ | 15.3k × — | 39.7k |
| Bracket | Price | Bid | Last | Waiting to trade (bid × ask) | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73° or above | 1¢ | — | 1¢ | — × 12.9k | 155 |
| 71° to 72° | 1¢ | — | 1¢ | — × 580 | 162 |
| 69° to 70° | 2¢ | 1¢ | 1¢ | 67 × 161 | 1,078 |
| 67° to 68° | 10¢ | 9¢ | 10¢ | 275 × 208 | 1,948 |
| 65° to 66°favorite | 60¢ | 59¢ | 59¢ | 40 × 111 | 1,590 |
| 64° or below | 31¢ | 30¢ | 33¢ | 263 × 31 | 2,727 |
44°F
Favorite 44° to 45° at 63¢ · in it now
Low so far set at 12:51 PM. Same station and day as the high; closes in 2 h 39 min.
From KNYC's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about past days, not forecasts.
Highest hourly reading so far at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA): 60°F at 12:51 PM.
Polymarket's highest-priced range is 60°–61° at >99¢.
Polymarket settles New York City on KLGA, not KNYC, and on the highest hourly reading, midnight to midnight local time.
Pick a number and Almanac tells you the moment the station (KNYC) reaches it: by email, and on your phone once you switch notifications on. Plus live prices in all 24 cities (these are 30minutes late), 12 weather models' forecasts for this station on the chart and in a table, whether today is running hotter or cooler than they expected, and how each model has done here.
Model record: in our test the market's prices were more accurate than the model (log loss 1.26 vs 1.48 a day ahead, 0.92 vs 1.25 on the day; lower is better).
Every report from the station today (a ), in exact whole °F. “6 h max” is the station's own highest reading over the past 6 hours, which can catch a peak between hourly reports.
| Time | Reading | 6 h max | 24 h max | Report |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9:51 PM | 49° | METAR KNYC 020251Z AUTO 26004KT 10SM CLR 09/04 A3047 RMK AO2 SLP311 T00940039 58002 $ | ||
| 8:51 PM | 53° | METAR KNYC 020151Z AUTO VRB05KT 10SM CLR 12/04 A3048 RMK AO2 SLP312 T01170039 $ | ||
| 7:51 PM | 55° | METAR KNYC 020051Z AUTO 10SM CLR 13/04 A3048 RMK AO2 SLP313 T01280039 $ | ||
| 6:51 PM | 55° | 59° | METAR KNYC 012351Z AUTO 22004KT 10SM CLR 13/04 A3048 RMK AO2 SLP313 T01280039 10150 20122 56004 $ | |
| 5:51 PM | 54° | METAR KNYC 012251Z AUTO 21004KT 10SM CLR 12/04 A3048 RMK AO2 SLP314 T01220044 $ | ||
| 4:51 PM | 56° | METAR KNYC 012151Z AUTO 22003KT 10SM CLR 13/03 A3048 RMK AO2 SLP315 T01330033 $ | ||
| 3:51 PM | 57° | METAR KNYC 012051Z AUTO 10SM CLR 14/03 A3049 RMK AO2 SLP317 T01390033 56012 $ | ||
| 2:51 PM | 58° | METAR KNYC 011951Z AUTO 10SM CLR 14/04 A3050 RMK AO2 SLP318 T01440039 $ | ||
| 1:51 PM | 58° | METAR KNYC 011851Z AUTO 21004KT 10SM CLR 14/03 A3051 RMK AO2 SLP322 T01440028 $ | ||
| 12:51 PM | 56° | 57° | METAR KNYC 011751Z AUTO VRB03KT 10SM CLR 13/02 A3053 RMK AO2 SLP329 T01330017 10139 20067 58019 $ | |
| 12:28 PM | 56° | SPECI KNYC 011728Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 13/01 A3054 RMK AO2 T01330011 $ | ||
| 12:20 PM | 56° | SPECI KNYC 011720Z AUTO 22004KT 1 1/4SM HZ CLR 13/02 A3054 RMK AO2 T01330017 $ | ||
| 11:51 AM | 55° | METAR KNYC 011651Z AUTO 26005KT 10SM CLR 13/01 A3056 RMK AO2 SLP339 T01280006 $ | ||
| 10:51 AM | 53° | METAR KNYC 011551Z AUTO 26004KT 10SM CLR 12/02 A3058 RMK AO2 SLP347 T01170017 $ | ||
| 9:51 AM | 51° | METAR KNYC 011451Z 00000KT 10SM CLR 11/03 A3058 RMK AO2 SLP348 T01060028 51006 $ | ||
| 8:51 AM | 49° | METAR KNYC 011351Z 00000KT 10SM CLR 09/02 A3058 RMK AO2 SLP348 T00940022 $ | ||
| 7:51 AM | 46° | METAR KNYC 011251Z 00000KT 10SM CLR 08/02 A3058 RMK AO2 SLP348 T00780022 $ | ||
| 6:51 AM | 45° | 49° | METAR KNYC 011151Z 30003KT 10SM CLR 07/03 A3056 RMK AO2 SLP342 T00720028 10094 20067 53011 $ | |
| 5:51 AM | 45° | METAR KNYC 011051Z 01003KT 10SM CLR 07/02 A3055 RMK AO2 SLP337 T00720017 $ | ||
| 4:51 AM | 45° | METAR KNYC 010951Z 05003KT 10SM CLR 07/02 A3054 RMK AO2 SLP333 T00720022 $ | ||
| 3:51 AM | 46° | METAR KNYC 010851Z VRB03KT 10SM CLR 08/02 A3053 RMK AO2 SLP331 T00780022 51008 $ | ||
| 2:51 AM | 47° | METAR KNYC 010751Z 04003KT 10SM CLR 08/03 A3053 RMK AO2 SLP329 T00830028 $ | ||
| 1:51 AM | 48° | METAR KNYC 010651Z 03004KT 10SM CLR 09/01 A3052 RMK AO2 SLP328 T00890011 $ | ||
| 1:51 AM | 48° | 55° | METAR KNYC 010551Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 09/02 A3051 RMK AO2 SLP323 T00890017 10128 20089 53006 $ |
58°F
Official high at 4:51 PM (standard time), -1° vs the normal 59°.
Settled: 58° or below (Kalshi, 7:09 AM)
Download every official high at KNYC (CSV): the NWS climate report's daily high since Jan 1, 2025, with its time, the normal and the record. Free, no account.
Follow New York City free. A free account keeps 3 cities on a watchlist.
Almanac shows information and tools. It never says what to buy or sell and never places an order. A free account follows 3 cities.