Atlanta high temperature: Kalshi vs Polymarket

Both markets settle on Hartsfield-Jackson (KATL), but they count the high differently.

Kalshi

Hartsfield-Jackson (KATL)

The day's official high, 1 AM to 1 AM while clocks are on daylight time.

Today, live · How it settles

Polymarket

Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport (KATL)

The highest hourly reading on NOAA's page for the station, in whole degrees, on the local calendar day.

The station on NOAA

Polymarket today, at Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport

Highest hourly reading so far at Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport (KATL): 63°F at 11:52 AM. The line is each hourly report, the reports Polymarket's rules count; the stripes are its ranges.

How today is going

  • Station readings
  • High so far
  • Ranges, brighter = pricier (Polymarket, 30 min late)

Atlanta so far today: the high is 63°F (11:52 AM), in the 62° to 63° bracket. The favorite is 62° to 63° at >99¢ (Polymarket, 30 minutes late). The day ends at 12:00 AM EST. 24 reports from KATL from 12:00 AM to 11:23 PM EST, between 54°F and 63°F; the latest 57°F at 10:52 PM.

aviationweather.govjust now, fetched Nov 1, 11:23 PM ESTPolymarket, 30 min late33 min ago, fetched Nov 1, 10:50 PM EST
The chart's numbers
Brackets (prices 30 minutes late)
BracketPriceNote
76° or above<1¢
74° to 75°<1¢
72° to 73°<1¢
70° to 71°<1¢
68° to 69°<1¢
66° to 67°<1¢
64° to 65°<1¢
62° to 63°>99¢favorite, high so far
60° to 61°<1¢
58° to 59°<1¢
57° or below<1¢
Station reports
TimeReading
10:52 PM57°F
9:52 PM58°F
8:52 PM58°F
7:52 PM59°F
6:52 PM59°F
5:52 PM59°F
4:52 PM60°F
3:52 PM62°F
2:52 PM62°F
1:52 PM63°F
12:52 PM63°F
11:52 AM63°F
10:52 AM61°F
9:52 AM59°F
8:52 AM57°F
7:52 AM56°F
6:52 AM55°F
5:52 AM54°F
4:52 AM54°F
3:52 AM54°F
2:52 AM54°F
1:52 AM54°F
1:52 AM55°F
12:52 AM60°F
RangePrice (30 min late)Traded
76° or above<1¢180
74°–75°<1¢195
72°–73°<1¢267
70°–71°<1¢466
68°–69°<1¢3,325
66°–67°<1¢5,567
64°–65°<1¢7,946
62°–63°high so far>99¢9,626
60°–61°<1¢14,619
58°–59°<1¢13,535
57° or below<1¢650
Polymarket, 30 min late33 min ago, fetched Nov 1, 10:50 PM ESTaviationweather.govjust now, fetched Nov 1, 11:23 PM EST

Almanac's °F is each report's tenths of a degree Celsius, rounded. Polymarket settles on NOAA's page for the station, which lists the same reports. Today's market on Polymarket.

Make your call

Which range will Atlanta settle on today? For fun: no money, no orders, nothing sent to Polymarket. It counts on the weekly leaderboard: a right call scores 100 minus its price when you called it.

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The last 30 days, side by side

Polymarket's winning range held the high Kalshi settled on for 15 of 30 days; it cooler on 15.

DayKalshi (KATL)Polymarket (KATL)Polymarket wasCompared
Oct 3172°70°–71°Polymarket cooler
Oct 3081°80°–81°Same high
Oct 2976°76°–77°Same high
Oct 2875°74°–75°Same high
Oct 2774°74°–75°Same high
Oct 2671°70°–71°Same high
Oct 2570°70°–71°Same high
Oct 2470°68°–69°Polymarket cooler
Oct 2373°72°–73°Same high
Oct 2276°74°–75°Polymarket cooler
Oct 2175°74°–75°Same high
Oct 2076°74°–75°Polymarket cooler
Oct 1970°68°–69°Polymarket cooler
Oct 1867°66°–67°Same high
Oct 1767°66°–67°Same high
Oct 1684°82°–83°Polymarket cooler
Oct 1588°86°–87°Polymarket cooler
Oct 1487°86°–87°Same high
Oct 1387°86°–87°Same high
Oct 1284°82°–83°Polymarket cooler
Oct 1170°68°–69°Polymarket cooler
Oct 1068°68°–69°Same high
Oct 973°72°–73°Same high
Oct 885°84°–85°Same high
Oct 780°78°–79°Polymarket cooler
Oct 678°76°–77°Polymarket cooler
Oct 576°74°–75°Polymarket cooler
Oct 478°76°–77°Polymarket cooler
Oct 386°84°–85°Polymarket cooler
Oct 284°82°–83°Polymarket cooler

Source: Kalshi's settlements: Kalshi's public market data; Polymarket's results: each daily event

How the two read the day

RuleKalshiPolymarket
What counts as the highThe day's official high for the station, as The Weather Company publishes it for Kalshi (weather.com/kalshi) for events from Aug 14, 2026. It has matched the NWS climate report's official high on 1,587 of 1,588 settled days, and that high counts a peak between hourly reports.The highest reading in the "Temp" column of NOAA's time-series page for the station, using its hourly data, in whole degrees. A peak between two readings isn't in that column, so it can come out lower than the official high.
The dayMidnight to midnight local standard time, so 1 AM to 1 AM while clocks are on daylight time.Every time listed on that day on NOAA's page, which shows the station's local clock time.
The rangesTwo-degree brackets, with an open bracket at each end. Where the brackets start moves from day to day (61°–62° one day, 62°–63° another).Two-degree ranges that start on an even number (62°–63°), with an open range at each end.
When it settlesAfter the final report for the day is out, usually the next morning.Once the first reading of the next day is on NOAA's page, or by 11:59 PM Eastern the next day. If NOAA has no data by then, the Weather Underground daily observations table is used.

Source: Polymarket's market rules (read Thu, Oct 22); Kalshi contract terms; The Weather Company's Kalshi data

All 11 cities, Kalshi vs Polymarket

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