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Will it rain today?

Kalshi's rain markets in 35 cities: whether each station has had rain so far today, live from its reports, beside the price of rain and of dry, and the time left to trade.

Polymarket's rain markets run by the month: how much rain this month in NYC, Seattle, London, Hong Kong, Seoul.

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How these settle

  • One market per city per day: YES pays $1 if the day's total rain is more than 0 inches, NO pays $1 if it isn't.
  • A trace counts as dry, and so does a missing report.
  • The total is the city's official climate report, as The Weather Company publishes it, from one station: Chicago's is O'Hare, Dallas's is DFW.
  • The day runs midnight to midnight local standard time (1 AM to 1 AM while clocks are on daylight time), and trading closes when it ends.

Today so far

aviationweather.gov station reports1 h ago, observed Nov 1, 8:43 PM ESTKalshi, 30 min late31 min ago, fetched Nov 1, 9:50 PM EST

No rain falling at any station right now. 13 more have had rain earlier today.

Sorted by the price of rain, highest first. A YES pays $1 if the day's official total is more than 0 inches; a trace counts as dry. Prices 30 minutes late.

Yesterday (Sat, Oct 31)

It rained in 16 of 35 cities. The favorite when the day began came in 28 of 35 times.

As Kalshi settled each market. The favorite is whichever side was priced over 50¢ as the day began.

Rain so far adds up each station's hourly reports: a guide to the official total, never the total itself, which the climate report sets after the day ends. Almanac shows information and tools. It never says what to buy or sell and never places an order.