How the Denver high-temperature market settles

Kalshi's Denver market settles on the daily high at Denver International (KDEN), as the climate report CLIDEN and The Weather Company publish it. Series KXHIGHDEN, listed since Nov 20, 2024.

Updated Nov 1, 3:20 AM MST: newest final official high is for Sat, Oct 31.

Today in Denver

The settlement station

Denver International Airport

Station
KDEN
Report code
CLIDEN
NWS office
BOU
Time zone
America/Denver

Source: Kalshi contract terms; NWS climate report CLIDEN

Today's window (Sun, Nov 1)

1:00 AM Nov 1 to 12:00 AM Nov 2 MDT

Midnight to midnight MST, local standard time: 1:00 AM to 12:00 AM on Denver's clock while daylight saving is on.

Opened
Oct 31, 10:00 AM EDT
Closes
Nov 2, 1:00 AM MST
Usually settles
around 7:12 AM
median 6.2 h after close, 79 settled days

Today's six brackets, in whole degrees

  • 57° or below
  • 58° to 59°
  • 60° to 61°
  • 62° to 63°
  • 64° to 65°
  • 66° or above

The window for any city and date

How Denver settled, day by day

Since Aug 14, 2026, 9 of 79 days (11%) settled on a tail bracket: 6 below the bottom bracket and 3 above the top one. In the last 30 days: 2 of 30.

DaySettled onWinning bracket
Sat, Oct 3158°58° to 59°
Fri, Oct 3063°63° to 64°
Thu, Oct 2966°65° to 66°
Wed, Oct 2866°65° to 66°
Tue, Oct 2764°64° or belowbottom tail
Mon, Oct 2654°58° or belowbottom tail
Sun, Oct 2558°58° to 59°
Sat, Oct 2457°57° to 58°
Fri, Oct 2377°76° to 77°
Thu, Oct 2274°73° to 74°
Wed, Oct 2175°74° to 75°
Tue, Oct 2073°72° to 73°
Mon, Oct 1971°71° to 72°
Sun, Oct 1875°74° to 75°
Sat, Oct 1778°77° to 78°
Fri, Oct 1657°57° to 58°
Thu, Oct 1554°53° to 54°
Wed, Oct 1448°48° to 49°
Tue, Oct 1366°66° to 67°
Mon, Oct 1282°81° to 82°
Sun, Oct 1185°84° to 85°
Sat, Oct 1083°82° to 83°
Fri, Oct 986°86° to 87°
Thu, Oct 884°83° to 84°
Wed, Oct 781°80° to 81°
Tue, Oct 687°86° to 87°
Mon, Oct 587°87° to 88°
Sun, Oct 481°80° to 81°
Sat, Oct 383°83° to 84°
Fri, Oct 281°81° to 82°

Source: Each market's result, settlement value and time: Kalshi's public market data; Time of the high: NWS climate reports for KDEN, via IEM

When the high happens at Denver International

Over 353 days (Nov 1, 2025 to Oct 31, 2026), the median time of the official high was 2:43 PM local standard time, and half the highs came between 1:42 PM and 3:35 PM. Over the last 56 days the median was 2:57 PM.

Denver International's high came before 1 AM standard time (1 to 2 AM daylight time) on 9 of 353 days (3%): the climate day's warmest minutes were its first.

  • Midnight to 1 AM3%
  • 1 to 6 AM1%
  • 6 AM to noon4%
  • Noon to 3 PM47%
  • 3 to 6 PM45%
  • 6 PM to midnight0%

KDEN report times, standard time. 12 without a time (MM) left out.

Source: NWS climate reports for KDEN, via IEM; IEM table of NWS climate reports

Denver on Polymarket

Polymarket's Denver market settles on Buckley Space Force Base (KBKF), not Denver International (KDEN): the highest of its hourly readings in whole °F, over the local calendar day, in 2°F ranges. The two exchanges can settle the same day differently.

Kalshi vs Polymarket in Denver: the stations and the last 30 days side by side

Did the afternoon report's high hold?

On 184 days from May 1, 2026 to Oct 31, 2026, the NWS's afternoon preliminary report (usually "as of 5 PM" local time) had the same high as the final report on 181 of 184 days (98%). The final report came in higher on 3 and never lower.

Every one of those 3 higher finals put the high after the 5 PM cutoff.

Source: Every NWS climate report issued for KDEN (CLIDEN), via IEM's text archive

Records and normals at Denver International

The normal high for Nov 1 is 59°F and the record high is 78°F. The normal falls to 47°F by Dec 1.

Against the normal
+5.9°F on average
above on 259, below on 93 of 365 days
Warmest and coolest
103° and 16°
103° on Jul 26, 2026; 16° on Jan 23, 2026
Record highs set or tied
22 days
Oct 6 87°, Oct 5 87°, Aug 21 100°, …

365 final highs at KDEN, Nov 1, 2025 to Oct 31, 2026, against the normal and record each report printed.

Source: NWS climate reports for KDEN, via IEM; NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals

Stations nearby

Climate-report stations near Denver International, and how their official highs ran against it. None settles the Denver market.

  • Denver Central Park KDCP · 20 km+0.5°F on average; the same whole degree on 89 of 364 days, 2°F or more apart on 130.
  • Denver/Centennial KAPA · 35 km−1.1°F on average; the same whole degree on 50 of 364 days, 2°F or more apart on 210.

Other reporting stations within 25 km (METARs only, no climate report): Denver/Colorado Air and Space Port (KCFO, 11 km), Denver/Front Range Arpt (KFTG, 12 km), Buckley SFB (KBKF, 17 km).

Straight-line distances from KDEN; snapshot Oct 21, 2026.

Source: IEM's list of NWS climate-report sites; aviationweather.gov station information

Questions about Denver

Which station settles Kalshi's Denver high-temperature market?

Denver International Airport (KDEN), the station named by the climate-report code CLIDEN in the market's rules.

What hours count toward Denver's daily high?

Midnight to midnight MST, local standard time. During daylight saving that is 1:00 AM Nov 1 to 12:00 AM Nov 2 MDT.

When does the Denver market close and settle?

Trading closes at 1:00 AM MST after the day ends. Over the last 79 settled days the result posted a median of 6.2 hours after close.

What are Denver's brackets for Sun, Nov 1?

57° or below, 58° to 59°, 60° to 61°, 62° to 63°, 64° to 65°, 66° or above, compared with Denver International's published whole-degree high. The two tails are strict.

How often does Denver settle on a tail bracket?

On 9 of 79 settled days from Aug 14, 2026 to Oct 31, 2026 (11%): 6 on the bottom tail and 3 on the top tail.

When does Denver's daily high usually happen?

Over 353 days to Oct 31, 2026, the median time of the official high at KDEN was 2:43 PM local standard time. On 9 of those days it came before 1 AM standard time.

How often does the afternoon climate report's high change by the final report in Denver?

From May 1, 2026 to Oct 31, 2026, the afternoon preliminary report's high matched the final report's on 181 of 184 days. The final was higher on 3 and lower on 0.

The rules every city shares · Reading CLIDEN · The Aug 14, 2026 change

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